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Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsNew York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC58%

  • Nashville SC 58%
  • Draw 22%
  • New York Red Bulls 20%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 57.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 71 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Nashville SC: WWLWL

New York Red Bulls: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 71 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-19New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC0–1
2025-05-15Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls2–1
2025-03-02New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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