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New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC42%

New York Red Bulls 34%
Draw 24%
Nashville SC 42%
  • New York Red Bulls 34%
  • Draw 24%
  • Nashville SC 42%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

New York Red Bulls: LLWDW

Nashville SC: LWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-15Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls2–1
2025-03-02New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC2–0

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FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC kick off?
Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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