New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York Red Bulls41%

  • New York Red Bulls 41%
  • Draw 26%
  • Nashville SC 34%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

New York Red Bulls: LDLDL

Nashville SC: LDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-19New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC0–1
2025-05-15Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls2–1
2025-03-02New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC kick off?
Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureNashville SC vs New York Red Bulls1 Nov 2026 →