New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC42%
- New York Red Bulls 34%
- Draw 24%
- Nashville SC 42%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls: LLWDW
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-15 | Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-02 | New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.