Nashville SCvs
Philadelphia UnionNashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 29 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC49%
- Nashville SC 49%
- Draw 24%
- Philadelphia Union 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 49.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Nashville SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC | 0–0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Thu, 29 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.