Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 29 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC49%

Tofiko49% / 24% / 27%
  • Nashville SC
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 49.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Nashville SC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 5 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 23 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Nashville SC: WWDLD

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 23 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC0–0
2025-07-06Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union1–0
2025-03-16Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC1–3

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FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legPhiladelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC16 Mar 2025 →