Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia UnionvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

Philadelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 16 Mar 2025 18:25 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union51%

Tofiko51% / 25% / 24%
Market54% / 24% / 22%
  • Philadelphia Union
  • Draw
  • Nashville SC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 51.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Nashville SC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 5 Oct 2026.

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Nashville SC: WWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC0–0
2025-07-06Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union1–0
2025-03-16Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC kick off?
Sun, 16 Mar 2025 18:25 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNashville SC vs Philadelphia Union29 Oct 2026 →