Philadelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 16 Mar 2025 18:25 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union51%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- Nashville SC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 51.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Nashville SC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 5 Oct 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Nashville SC: WWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC | 0–0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sun, 16 Mar 2025 18:25 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.