New England Revolutionvs
New York Red BullsNew England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New England Revolution43%
- New England Revolution 43%
- Draw 26%
- New York Red Bulls 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New England Revolution, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New England Revolution won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New England Revolution: WLLDW
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-16 | New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution | 5–3 |
| 2025-03-29 | New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.