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New England Revolution crestNew England RevolutionvsNew York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerWed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New England Revolution43%

New England Revolution 43%
Draw 26%
New York Red Bulls 31%
  • New England Revolution 43%
  • Draw 26%
  • New York Red Bulls 31%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick New England Revolution, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and New England Revolution won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

New England Revolution: WDLWL

New York Red Bulls: LLWDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 5.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-16New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution5–3
2025-03-29New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls2–1

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FAQ

Who will win New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.

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