New York Red Bullsvs
New England RevolutionNew York Red Bulls 5-3 New England Revolution — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 16 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls51%
- New York Red Bulls 51%
- Draw 25%
- New England Revolution 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 50.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
New England Revolution: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-16 | New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution | 5–3 |
| 2025-03-29 | New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Wed, 16 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.