New York City FCvs
CF MontrealNew York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC58%
- New York City FC 58%
- Draw 23%
- CF Montreal 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York City FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York City FC: DWWLL
CF Montreal: LLDWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | CF Montreal vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-06-28 | CF Montreal vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | New York City FC vs CF Montreal | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.