CF Montrealvs
New York City FCCF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 28 Jun 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC48%
- CF Montreal 27%
- Draw 25%
- New York City FC 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. CF Montreal's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
CF Montreal: LLDLD
New York City FC: LDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | CF Montreal vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-06-28 | CF Montreal vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | New York City FC vs CF Montreal | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 28 Jun 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the CF Montreal vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.