New York City FCvs
CF MontrealNew York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC58%
- New York City FC 58%
- Draw 23%
- CF Montreal 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York City FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York City FC: LLLLW
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | CF Montreal vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-06-28 | CF Montreal vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | New York City FC vs CF Montreal | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.