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New York City FC crestNew York City FCvsLos Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerThu, 05 Nov 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York City FC43%

New York City FC 43%
Draw 25%
Los Angeles FC 32%
  • New York City FC 43%
  • Draw 25%
  • Los Angeles FC 32%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 42.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and New York City FC won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

New York City FC: DWWLL

Los Angeles FC: WWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-02Los Angeles FC vs New York City FC1–0

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FAQ

Who will win New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
Thu, 05 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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