New York City FCvs
Los Angeles FCNew York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 05 Nov 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC43%
- New York City FC 43%
- Draw 25%
- Los Angeles FC 32%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 42.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and New York City FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. New York City FC's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 24 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York City FC: DLLLL
Los Angeles FC: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Los Angeles FC vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.