Toronto FC crestToronto FCvsD.C. United crestD.C. United

Toronto FC vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Toronto FC51%

Tofiko51% / 24% / 24%
  • Toronto FC
  • Draw
  • D.C. United

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 51.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Toronto FC: LLLWD

D.C. United: LDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25D.C. United vs Toronto FC2–1
2025-05-10Toronto FC vs D.C. United2–0
2025-02-23D.C. United vs Toronto FC2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Toronto FC vs D.C. United?
Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toronto FC vs D.C. United kick off?
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Toronto FC vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legDC United 2-1 Toronto FC25 Jul 2026 →