Toronto FCvs
D.C. UnitedToronto FC vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC51%
- Toronto FC 51%
- Draw 24%
- D.C. United 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. D.C. United's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Toronto FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toronto FC: DLDDL
D.C. United: WDDDL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | D.C. United vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Toronto FC vs D.C. United | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | D.C. United vs Toronto FC | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs D.C. United kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.