Toronto FCvs
D.C. UnitedToronto FC vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC51%
- Toronto FC 51%
- Draw 24%
- D.C. United 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Toronto FC: WDWDL
D.C. United: LLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | D.C. United vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Toronto FC vs D.C. United | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | D.C. United vs Toronto FC | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs D.C. United kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.