New York Red Bullsvs
Atlanta United FCNew York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls57%
- New York Red Bulls 57%
- Draw 23%
- Atlanta United FC 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 56.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Atlanta United FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 57 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
Atlanta United FC: LDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 57 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.