Atlanta United FCvs
New York Red BullsAtlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atlanta United FC44%
- Atlanta United FC 44%
- Draw 24%
- New York Red Bulls 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atlanta United FC, rating it at 43.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Atlanta United FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Atlanta United FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Atlanta United FC: LDLWW
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Atlanta United FC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.