Colorado Rapidsvs
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%
- Colorado Rapids 35%
- Draw 22%
- San Jose Earthquakes 43%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 42.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Colorado Rapids won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Colorado Rapids's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Colorado Rapids: LWWWL
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.