Colorado Rapidsvs
San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%
- Colorado Rapids 35%
- Draw 22%
- San Jose Earthquakes 43%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 42.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Colorado Rapids won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Colorado Rapids: LWDLW
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.