San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC42%
- San Jose Earthquakes 37%
- Draw 22%
- Nashville SC 42%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Nashville SC, rating it at 41.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Nashville SC: LWWWW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.