San Jose Earthquakesvs
Nashville SCSan Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Tofiko pick
Nashville SC or draw73%
Market + our model · under 50% to win, so the pick covers the draw too
- San Jose Earthquakes
- Draw
- Nashville SC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
AI match brief
🤖 AIThe model sees an open game, giving Nashville SC 42.8%, San Jose Earthquakes 32.8% and the draw 24.4%. The market puts Nashville SC at 49.1%, San Jose Earthquakes at 27.0% and the draw at 23.9%, so the draw figures are aligned.
Also in the full brief:
- how the price has moved since it opened
- each side's recent both-teams-to-score record
- expected goals for each side and the most likely scores
Every brief on every match is Pro. See Pro →
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- San Jose Earthquakes or draw57%
- Draw or Nashville SC67%
- San Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- San Jose Earthquakes, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Nashville SC, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (363 games)65%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (5 books)Yes 65% · No 35%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 42.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 17 Oct 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: DDWDW
Nashville SC: WWWWD
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
- The market makes Nashville SC the favourite (50%, bookmaker margin removed). Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.