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San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC42%

San Jose Earthquakes 37%
Draw 22%
Nashville SC 42%
  • San Jose Earthquakes 37%
  • Draw 22%
  • Nashville SC 42%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Nashville SC, rating it at 41.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL

Nashville SC: LWWWW

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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