Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Tofiko pick
Los Angeles Galaxy or draw66%
Market + our model · under 50% to win, so the pick covers the draw too
- Los Angeles Galaxy
- Draw
- San Diego FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
AI match brief
🤖 AIThe model sees an open game, with a home win at 44%, and the market puts the home side at 44%, so the two are aligned.
Also in the full brief:
- how the price has moved since it opened
- team news: 2 players out or doubtful
- each side's recent both-teams-to-score record
- expected goals for each side and the most likely scores
Every brief on every match is Pro. See Pro →
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Los Angeles Galaxy or draw66%
- Draw or San Diego FC56%
- Los Angeles Galaxy or San Diego FC78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.566%
- Under 2.534%
Both teams to score
- Los Angeles Galaxy, last 10 home games4 of 10
- San Diego FC, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (363 games)65%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (5 books)Yes 73% · No 27%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- San Diego FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 17 Oct 2026.
Los Angeles Galaxy: WLWWD
San Diego FC: DLDDL
Head-to-head
As of 17 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-24 | San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC?
- The market makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite (42%, bookmaker margin removed). Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.