Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles GalaxyvsSan Diego FC crestSan Diego FC

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Tofiko pick

Los Angeles Galaxy or draw66%

Market + our model · under 50% to win, so the pick covers the draw too

Market42% / 23% / 34%
Our model44% / 22% / 34%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy
  • Draw
  • San Diego FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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AI match brief

🤖 AI

The model sees an open game, with a home win at 44%, and the market puts the home side at 44%, so the two are aligned.

Also in the full brief:

  • how the price has moved since it opened
  • team news: 2 players out or doubtful
  • each side's recent both-teams-to-score record
  • expected goals for each side and the most likely scores
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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Los Angeles Galaxy or draw66%
  • Draw or San Diego FC56%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy or San Diego FC78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.566%
  • Under 2.534%

Both teams to score

  • Los Angeles Galaxy, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • San Diego FC, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (363 games)65%
  • Bookmakers, margin removed (5 books)Yes 73% · No 27%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • San Diego FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 17 Oct 2026.

Los Angeles Galaxy: WLWWD

San Diego FC: DLDDL

Head-to-head

As of 17 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy3–1
2025-05-24San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy2–1
2025-02-24Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC?
The market makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite (42%, bookmaker margin removed). Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy30 Aug 2026 →