Houston Dynamovs
FC DallasHouston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo42%
- Houston Dynamo 42%
- Draw 25%
- FC Dallas 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Houston Dynamo: LWWWW
FC Dallas: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo | 0–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.