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Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsFC Dallas crestFC Dallas

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Houston Dynamo42%

Houston Dynamo 42%
Draw 25%
FC Dallas 33%
  • Houston Dynamo 42%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Dallas 33%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Houston Dynamo: WDWWD

FC Dallas: LDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-18FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo0–2
2025-02-23Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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