Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo42%
- Houston Dynamo 42%
- Draw 25%
- FC Dallas 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
FC Dallas: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo | 0–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.