Orlando City crestOrlando CityvsD.C. United crestD.C. United

Orlando City vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Orlando City65%

Tofiko65% / 18% / 16%
  • Orlando City
  • Draw
  • D.C. United

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 65.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. D.C. United's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Orlando City: LLLWW

D.C. United: LDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25D.C. United vs Orlando City3–2
2025-09-13D.C. United vs Orlando City1–1
2025-03-22Orlando City vs D.C. United4–1

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FAQ

Who will win Orlando City vs D.C. United?
Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Orlando City vs D.C. United kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Orlando City vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legDC United 1-1 Orlando City SC13 Sept 2025 →