Orlando Cityvs
D.C. UnitedOrlando City vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City65%
- Orlando City 65%
- Draw 18%
- D.C. United 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 65.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Orlando City: WWLWD
D.C. United: WDDDL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | D.C. United vs Orlando City | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | D.C. United vs Orlando City | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | Orlando City vs D.C. United | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.