Seattle Sounders FCvs
New York Red BullsSeattle Sounders FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC51%
- Seattle Sounders FC 51%
- Draw 23%
- New York Red Bulls 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 51.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Seattle Sounders FC: DLLLW
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.