Columbus Crewvs
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew56%
- Columbus Crew 56%
- Draw 22%
- New York Red Bulls 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Columbus Crew won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Columbus Crew's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Columbus Crew: LWLLL
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.