Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew49%
- Columbus Crew 49%
- Draw 24%
- New York Red Bulls 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Columbus Crew won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Columbus Crew: LLDWW
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.