Saint Louis Cityvs
Minnesota United FCSaint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City48%
- Saint Louis City 48%
- Draw 23%
- Minnesota United FC 29%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 8 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Minnesota United FC: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 8 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Minnesota United FC vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.