Saint Louis Cityvs
Minnesota United FCSaint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC43%
- Saint Louis City 32%
- Draw 25%
- Minnesota United FC 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Minnesota United FC, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Minnesota United FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Minnesota United FC: DLDLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Minnesota United FC vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.