Saint Louis Cityvs
Minnesota United FCSaint Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City49%
- Saint Louis City 49%
- Draw 23%
- Minnesota United FC 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 6.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 13 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Minnesota United FC: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC | 4–2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Minnesota United FC vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.