Saint Louis Cityvs
Minnesota United FCSaint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC43%
- Saint Louis City 32%
- Draw 25%
- Minnesota United FC 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Minnesota United FC, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Minnesota United FC vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.