Saint Louis City crestSaint Louis CityvsMinnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FC

Saint Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Saint Louis City49%

Tofiko49% / 23% / 28%
Market47% / 24% / 28%
  • Saint Louis City
  • Draw
  • Minnesota United FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 49.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

Minnesota United FC: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC4–2
2025-07-27Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC1–2
2025-05-18Minnesota United FC vs Saint Louis City3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Saint Louis City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureMinnesota United FC vs St. Louis City17 Oct 2026 →