FC Dallas crestFC DallasvsPortland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Dallas52%

  • FC Dallas 52%
  • Draw 22%
  • Portland Timbers 26%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 52.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

FC Dallas: WWDLW

Portland Timbers: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-23Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas2–2
2025-09-28Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas2–2
2025-08-10FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers2–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPortland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas23 Jul 2026 →