Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC51%
- Sporting Kansas City 27%
- Draw 22%
- Los Angeles FC 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 50.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Los Angeles FC: WDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.