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Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityvsLos Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC54%

Sporting Kansas City 25%
Draw 21%
Los Angeles FC 54%
  • Sporting Kansas City 25%
  • Draw 21%
  • Los Angeles FC 54%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW

Los Angeles FC: WWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City4–0
2025-06-09Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City3–1
2025-03-23Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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