FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsCharlotte FC crestCharlotte FC

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati52%

  • FC Cincinnati 52%
  • Draw 23%
  • Charlotte FC 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 13 Sep 2026.

FC Cincinnati: LLDWD

Charlotte FC: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 13 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-09Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati2–2
2025-08-10FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC0–1
2025-03-15Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati2–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCharlotte 2-0 FC Cincinnati15 Mar 2025 →