FC Dallasvs
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas64%
- FC Dallas 64%
- Draw 19%
- Sporting Kansas City 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Dallas won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Dallas: LWWLW
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas | 2–4 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.