Sporting Kansas Cityvs
FC DallasSporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas48%
- Sporting Kansas City 31%
- Draw 22%
- FC Dallas 48%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sporting Kansas City's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 5.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–3 |
| 2025-06-15 | Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas | 2–4 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.