FC Dallasvs
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas62%
- FC Dallas 62%
- Draw 21%
- Sporting Kansas City 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 61.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sporting Kansas City's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 5.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–3 |
| 2025-06-15 | Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas | 2–4 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.