FC Dallas crestFC DallasvsSporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Dallas62%

Tofiko62% / 21% / 17%
Market70% / 17% / 13%
  • FC Dallas
  • Draw
  • Sporting Kansas City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 61.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Dallas's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 2 Oct 2026.

FC Dallas: WDWWW

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 5.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City4–3
2025-06-15Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas2–4
2025-03-30FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas31 Oct 2026 →