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FC Dallas crestFC DallasvsSporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Dallas64%

FC Dallas 64%
Draw 19%
Sporting Kansas City 17%
  • FC Dallas 64%
  • Draw 19%
  • Sporting Kansas City 17%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Dallas won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Dallas: LDWWL

Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-15Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas2–4
2025-03-30FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City2–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

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