FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas64%
- FC Dallas 64%
- Draw 19%
- Sporting Kansas City 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Dallas won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Dallas: LDWWL
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas | 2–4 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.