D.C. Unitedvs
Toronto FCD.C. United 2-1 Toronto FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs D.C. United38%
Tofiko38% / 26% / 36%
Market45% / 26% / 29%
- D.C. United
- Draw
- Toronto FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks D.C. United, rating it at 38.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
D.C. United: LDLDW
Toronto FC: LLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | D.C. United vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Toronto FC vs D.C. United | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | D.C. United vs Toronto FC | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours D.C. United (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.