Arsenal F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win51%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 51%.
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Liverpool F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw79%
- Draw or Liverpool F.C.49%
- Arsenal F.C. or Liverpool F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 50.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | Arsenal F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Liverpool F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Liverpool F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Arsenal F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Arsenal vs Liverpool | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Liverpool vs Arsenal | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-09 | Liverpool vs Arsenal | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-09 | Arsenal vs Liverpool | 3–2 |
| 2022-03-16 | Arsenal vs Liverpool | 0–2 |
| 2021-11-20 | Liverpool vs Arsenal | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.