Manchester City F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. or draw77%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester City F.C. or draw77%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.51%
- Manchester City F.C. or Arsenal F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 49.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Arsenal F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Arsenal F.C.(N) vs Manchester City F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 5–1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-03-31 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-26 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-15 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2022-01-01 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.