Arsenal F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.39%
- Arsenal F.C. 39%
- Draw 30%
- Manchester City F.C. 31%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Arsenal F.C., rating it at 38.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWWDD
Manchester City F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Arsenal F.C.(N) vs Manchester City F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 5–1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-03-31 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-26 | Manchester City vs Arsenal | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-15 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2022-01-01 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.