Manchester City F.C. crestManchester City F.C.vsArsenal F.C. crestArsenal F.C.

Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester City F.C.49%

Tofiko49% / 28% / 23%
  • Manchester City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Arsenal F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 49.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 129 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW

Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 129 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-16Arsenal F.C.(N) vs Manchester City F.C.3–0
2026-04-19Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.2–1
2025-09-21Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.1–1
2025-02-02Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.5–1
2024-09-22Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.2–2
2024-03-31Manchester City vs Arsenal0–0
2023-10-08Arsenal vs Manchester City1–0
2023-04-26Manchester City vs Arsenal4–1
2023-02-15Arsenal vs Manchester City1–3
2022-01-01Arsenal vs Manchester City1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureArsenal vs Manchester City28 Nov 2026 →