Arsenal F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win64%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 64%.
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Sunderland A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw89%
- Draw or Sunderland A.F.C.36%
- Arsenal F.C. or Sunderland A.F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 64.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Arsenal F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.