AFC Bournemouthvs
Aston Villa F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth39%
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw68%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.61%
- AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 38.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Aston Villa F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Aston Villa F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-18 | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.