AFC Bournemouthvs
Aston Villa F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth39%
- AFC Bournemouth 39%
- Draw 29%
- Aston Villa F.C. 32%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 38.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Aston Villa F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 123 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Aston Villa F.C.: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 123 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Aston Villa F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Aston Villa F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-18 | Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.