AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AFC Bournemouth to win55%
1X2: model backs AFC Bournemouth at 55%.
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw81%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.45%
- AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 54.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United | 4–1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.