Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AFC Bournemouth or draw65%
1X2: model backs AFC Bournemouth at 37% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw63%
- Draw or AFC Bournemouth65%
- Leeds United F.C. or AFC Bournemouth72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 36.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Leeds United F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United | 4–1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (37% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.