Leeds United F.C. crestLeeds United F.C.vsAFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth

Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AFC Bournemouth or draw65%

1X2: model backs AFC Bournemouth at 37% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko35% / 28% / 37%
  • Leeds United F.C.
  • Draw
  • AFC Bournemouth

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Leeds United F.C. or draw63%
  • Draw or AFC Bournemouth65%
  • Leeds United F.C. or AFC Bournemouth72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.560%
  • Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

  • Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
  • AFC Bournemouth, last 10 away games9 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 36.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Leeds United F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD

AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-22AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United F.C.2–2
2025-09-27Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth2–2
2023-04-30AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United4–1
2022-11-05Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth4–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (37% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Leeds United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBournemouth vs Leeds31 Oct 2026 →