Chelsea F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.42%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 42.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester United F.C.'s 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Manchester United F.C.: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-06 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-25 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-28 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.