Chelsea F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.42%
- Chelsea F.C. 42%
- Draw 28%
- Manchester United F.C. 30%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Manchester United F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-06 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-25 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-28 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.