Chelsea F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.42%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw70%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.58%
- Chelsea F.C. or Manchester United F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 42.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester United F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-06 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-25 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-28 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.