Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win70%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 70%.
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester City F.C. or draw90%
- Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.30%
- Manchester City F.C. or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 70.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-25 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
| 2023-10-21 | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-20 | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.