Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.46%
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 45.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 129 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 129 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-18 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.