Newcastle United F.C.vs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Newcastle United F.C. or draw74%
1X2: model backs Newcastle United F.C. at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw74%
- Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.54%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 45.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-18 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.