Chelsea F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.39%
- Chelsea F.C. 33%
- Draw 29%
- Liverpool F.C. 39%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 6 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Liverpool F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Liverpool F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Liverpool vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-08-13 | Chelsea FC vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Liverpool | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Liverpool vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Chelsea FC vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-28 | Liverpool vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 6 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.