Chelsea F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.39%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Liverpool F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw61%
- Draw or Liverpool F.C.67%
- Chelsea F.C. or Liverpool F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 6 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Liverpool F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Liverpool F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Liverpool vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-08-13 | Chelsea FC vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Liverpool | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Liverpool vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Chelsea FC vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-28 | Liverpool vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 6 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.