Manchester United F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.45%
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester United F.C.'s 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: DLLWD
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-06 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-25 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-28 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.