Manchester United F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester United F.C. or draw74%
1X2: model backs Manchester United F.C. at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester United F.C. or draw74%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.55%
- Manchester United F.C. or Chelsea F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester United F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 4–3 |
| 2023-12-06 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-25 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-28 | Manchester United vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.