Chelsea F.C.vs
Nottingham Forest F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Chelsea F.C. to win56%
1X2: model backs Chelsea F.C. at 56%.
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Nottingham Forest F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw82%
- Draw or Nottingham Forest F.C.44%
- Chelsea F.C. or Nottingham Forest F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Nottingham Forest F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 55.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Nottingham Forest F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Nottingham Forest F.C.: LLWDD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Chelsea F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-05-25 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Chelsea F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea FC | 2–3 |
| 2023-09-02 | Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-01 | Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.