Chelsea F.C. crestChelsea F.C.vsSunderland A.F.C. crestSunderland A.F.C.

Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chelsea F.C.50%

Tofiko50% / 30% / 20%
  • Chelsea F.C.
  • Draw
  • Sunderland A.F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 50.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chelsea F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sunderland A.F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW

Sunderland A.F.C.: LWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Sunderland A.F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.2–1
2025-10-25Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSunderland vs Chelsea7 Nov 2026 →