Chelsea F.C.vs
Sunderland A.F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Chelsea F.C. to win50%
1X2: model backs Chelsea F.C. at 50%.
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Sunderland A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw80%
- Draw or Sunderland A.F.C.50%
- Chelsea F.C. or Sunderland A.F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 50.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Chelsea F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Sunderland A.F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.