Watfordvs
Chelsea FCWatford 1-2 Chelsea FC — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Wed, 01 Dec 2021 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea FC65%
- Watford 15%
- Draw 20%
- Chelsea FC 65%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea FC, rating it at 65.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Watford won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Watford's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Watford: LDLDW
Chelsea FC: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-22 | Chelsea FC vs Watford | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-01 | Watford vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Watford vs Chelsea FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Watford vs Chelsea FC kick off?
- Wed, 01 Dec 2021 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Watford vs Chelsea FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.