Crystal Palace F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win57%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 57%.
- Crystal Palace F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Crystal Palace F.C. or draw43%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.84%
- Crystal Palace F.C. or Arsenal F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 57.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Arsenal F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2024-01-20 | Arsenal vs Crystal Palace | 5–0 |
| 2023-08-21 | Crystal Palace vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2023-03-19 | Arsenal vs Crystal Palace | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-05 | Crystal Palace vs Arsenal | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-04 | Crystal Palace vs Arsenal | 3–0 |
| 2021-10-18 | Arsenal vs Crystal Palace | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.