Crystal Palace F.C. crestCrystal Palace F.C.vsLeeds United F.C. crestLeeds United F.C.

Crystal Palace F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Crystal Palace F.C. or draw76%

1X2: model backs Crystal Palace F.C. at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko48% / 29% / 24%
  • Crystal Palace F.C.
  • Draw
  • Leeds United F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Crystal Palace F.C. or draw76%
  • Draw or Leeds United F.C.52%
  • Crystal Palace F.C. or Leeds United F.C.71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Crystal Palace F.C., rating it at 47.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL

Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 2.44Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 44%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20Leeds United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.0–0
2026-03-15Crystal Palace F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.0–0
2025-12-20Leeds United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.4–1
2023-04-09Leeds United vs Crystal Palace1–5
2022-10-09Crystal Palace vs Leeds United2–1
2022-04-25Crystal Palace vs Leeds United0–0
2021-11-30Leeds United vs Crystal Palace1–0
2021-02-08Leeds United vs Crystal Palace2–0
2020-11-07Crystal Palace vs Leeds United4–1

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FAQ

Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Crystal Palace F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
Sun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.44 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLeeds 0-0 Crystal Palace20 Sept 2026 →