Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester United F.C. or draw72%
1X2: model backs Manchester United F.C. at 41% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Crystal Palace F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Crystal Palace F.C. or draw59%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.72%
- Crystal Palace F.C. or Manchester United F.C.69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 41.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Manchester United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-02 | Manchester United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-05-06 | Crystal Palace vs Manchester United | 4–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | Manchester United vs Crystal Palace | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | Manchester United vs Crystal Palace | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-18 | Crystal Palace vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Crystal Palace vs Manchester United | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-05 | Manchester United vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.