Everton F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Everton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw70%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 38% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Everton F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Everton F.C. or draw62%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.70%
- Everton F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.68%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Everton F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 38.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Aston Villa F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 84 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Everton F.C.: DWWDD
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 84 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Everton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-15 | Everton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-01-14 | Everton vs Aston Villa | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Aston Villa vs Everton | 4–0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Everton vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-13 | Aston Villa vs Everton | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-22 | Everton vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-18 | Aston Villa vs Everton | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.