Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Everton F.C.34%
- Everton F.C. 34%
- Draw 32%
- AFC Bournemouth 34%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Everton F.C., rating it at 34.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Everton F.C.: DWWDW
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.44Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-02 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-04 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–3 |
| 2024-03-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton | 2–1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Everton vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Everton vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-12 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Everton F.C. (34% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.44 goals per game.