Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Everton F.C.34%
- Everton F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Everton F.C. or draw66%
- Draw or AFC Bournemouth66%
- Everton F.C. or AFC Bournemouth68%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Everton F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Everton F.C., rating it at 34.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Everton F.C.: DWWDD
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.44Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-02 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-04 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–3 |
| 2024-03-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton | 2–1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Everton vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Everton vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-12 | AFC Bournemouth vs Everton | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Everton F.C. (34% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.44 goals per game.