Everton F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueWed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.63%
- Everton F.C. 14%
- Draw 23%
- Manchester City F.C. 63%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 62.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Everton F.C.: WLDWL
Manchester City F.C.: DLDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Manchester City F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Manchester City F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Manchester City vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-27 | Everton vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-14 | Everton vs Manchester City | 0–3 |
| 2022-12-31 | Manchester City vs Everton | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | Everton vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-21 | Manchester City vs Everton | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.