Everton F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win63%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 63%.
- Everton F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Everton F.C. or draw37%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.86%
- Everton F.C. or Manchester City F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Everton F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 62.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 78 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Everton F.C.: DWWDD
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 78 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Manchester City F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Manchester City F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Manchester City vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-27 | Everton vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-14 | Everton vs Manchester City | 0–3 |
| 2022-12-31 | Manchester City vs Everton | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | Everton vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-21 | Manchester City vs Everton | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.