Everton F.C. crestEverton F.C.vsNewcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.

Everton F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.35%

Tofiko34% / 31% / 35%
  • Everton F.C.
  • Draw
  • Newcastle United F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Everton F.C. or draw65%
  • Draw or Newcastle United F.C.66%
  • Everton F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • Everton F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 34.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Newcastle United F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Everton F.C.: DWWDD

Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-12Newcastle United F.C. vs Everton F.C.1–3
2026-02-28Newcastle United F.C. vs Everton F.C.2–3
2025-11-29Everton F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.1–4
2025-05-25Newcastle United F.C. vs Everton F.C.0–1
2024-10-05Everton F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.0–0
2024-04-02Newcastle vs Everton1–1
2023-12-07Everton vs Newcastle3–0
2023-04-27Everton vs Newcastle1–4
2022-10-19Newcastle vs Everton1–0
2022-03-17Everton vs Newcastle1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Everton F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Everton F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Everton F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNewcastle vs Everton2 Nov 2026 →