Ipswich Town F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Ipswich Town F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueWed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.64%
- Ipswich Town F.C. 15%
- Draw 21%
- Chelsea F.C. 64%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Ipswich Town F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Ipswich Town F.C.: WLLWD
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | Chelsea F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-30 | Ipswich Town F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Ipswich Town F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Ipswich Town F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Ipswich Town F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.