Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 22 Nov 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Liverpool F.C. to win56%
1X2: model backs Liverpool F.C. at 56%.
- Liverpool F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Liverpool F.C. or draw79%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.44%
- Liverpool F.C. or Manchester United F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Under 2.538%
Both teams to score
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 55.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Manchester United F.C.: DDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-01-05 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-07 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 0–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 7–0 |
| 2022-08-22 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-19 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-24 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 0–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 22 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.