Liverpool F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.56%
- Liverpool F.C. 56%
- Draw 24%
- Manchester United F.C. 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 55.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Manchester United F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-01-05 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-07 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 0–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 7–0 |
| 2022-08-22 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-19 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-24 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 0–5 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.